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Reserves estimation of shale gas: Difference between revisions
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Shale gas is becoming increasingly important globally. | Shale gas is becoming increasingly important globally. The nature of these reservoirs pose special considerations in reserves estimation. What follows was written in 2001 and needs to be updated based on current experience. Nonetheless, some of the considerations mentioned remain appropriate. | ||
==Background== | == Background == | ||
As reported in mid-2000, natural gas produced from shale in the US has grown to be<ref name="r1">_</ref> approximately 1.6% (0.3 Tcf annually) of total gas production. The first commercial production of natural gas from shale was developed to supply gas to the town of Fredonia, New York, US, in the late 1820s, predating Col. Drake’s first oil well by almost 40 years. | |||
<gallery widths=300px heights=200px> | By 1979, some 60 Bcf/year was being produced from wells in the Appalachian (Ohio) basin. Production from the Antrim shale (Michigan basin) began in the mid-1980s and by 1994 had surpassed production of the Appalachian basin. Three other US basins—San Juan (Colorado, New Mexico), Fort Worth (Texas), and Illinois (Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky) currently are producing from shale. Total US gas-bearing shale resources<ref name="r2">_</ref> <ref name="r3">_</ref> <ref name="r4">_</ref> <ref name="r5">_</ref> <ref name="r6">_</ref> <ref name="r7">_</ref> <ref name="r8">_</ref> are shown in '''Table 1'''. | ||
<gallery widths="300px" heights="200px"> | |||
File:Vol5 Page 1540 Image 0001.png|'''Table 1''' | File:Vol5 Page 1540 Image 0001.png|'''Table 1''' | ||
</gallery> | </gallery> | ||
In a 1992 report,<ref name="r9" /> | In a 1992 report,<ref name="r9">_</ref> the Gas Research Inst. (GRI) describes the Antrim shale as being organically rich and says that the majority of the in-place gas was sorbed into the organic constituent. Productivity is achieved by reducing reservoir pressure, and is maximized by hydraulic fracturing to access and connect the wellbore to the natural microfractures and other permeability pathways. | ||
As in [[Coalbed_methane|coalbed methane]] (CBM) reservoirs, the naturally occurring fracture system usually is water-filled, requiring artificial lift equipment to dewater the wells to reduce the bottomhole pressure to a level consistent with maximum gas desorption and production. | |||
== Calculation and considerations == | |||
Shale gas volumes initially in place (scf) can be calculated by: | |||
Shale gas volumes initially in place (scf) can be calculated by: | |||
[[File:Vol5 page 1540 eq 001.png]]......................(1) | [[File:Vol5 page 1540 eq 001.png|RTENOTITLE]]......................(1) | ||
where 1,359 is a conversion factor to convert volume (acre-ft), shale density (g/cm3), and gas content (scf/ton) to scf gas in place. | where 1,359 is a conversion factor to convert volume (acre-ft), shale density (g/cm3), and gas content (scf/ton) to scf gas in place. | ||
Shale density and gas content can be measured directly through core analysis or indirectly through well logs, using correlations established between gas content and shale bulk density. Core samples are taken and preserved to minimize the release of original gas in place. The free gas in the core sample canisters plus the gas that is released during core crushing is measured in the laboratory. This volume of gas may be adjusted to account for the volume estimated to have been lost during core retrieval. The analysis procedures are similar to those used for CBM. | Shale density and gas content can be measured directly through core analysis or indirectly through well logs, using correlations established between gas content and shale bulk density. Core samples are taken and preserved to minimize the release of original gas in place. The free gas in the core sample canisters plus the gas that is released during core crushing is measured in the laboratory. This volume of gas may be adjusted to account for the volume estimated to have been lost during core retrieval. The analysis procedures are similar to those used for CBM. | ||
Gas-content/shale-density correlations are an outgrowth of studies<ref name="r10" /> | Gas-content/shale-density correlations are an outgrowth of studies<ref name="r10">_</ref> in which the laboratory-measured shale densities and total organic content (TOC) of the samples were compared and related in a linear correlation. Similarly, gas content was found to have a linear relationship with TOC. | ||
This research thus leads to the ability to measure bulk density from well logs and use this information to directly estimate gas content and log-derived gas in place. | This research thus leads to the ability to measure bulk density from well logs and use this information to directly estimate gas content and log-derived gas in place. | ||
'''Fig. 1'''<ref name="r2" /> is an example of the relationship between gas content and shale density for the Antrim shale in a defined area. | '''Fig. 1'''<ref name="r2">_</ref> is an example of the relationship between gas content and shale density for the Antrim shale in a defined area. | ||
<gallery widths="300px" heights="200px"> | <gallery widths="300px" heights="200px"> | ||
Line 33: | Line 35: | ||
</gallery> | </gallery> | ||
==Gas reserves estimation== | == Gas reserves estimation == | ||
Gas reserves estimates (REs) vary widely and are related to many factors, including: | Gas reserves estimates (REs) vary widely and are related to many factors, including: | ||
*Completion efficiency | *Completion efficiency | ||
*Reservoir pressure | *Reservoir pressure | ||
Line 40: | Line 44: | ||
*Well spacing | *Well spacing | ||
The recoveries<ref name="r2" /> | The recoveries<ref name="r2">_</ref> shown in '''Table 2''' range from 5 to 60% gas-in-place (GIP), but probably average approximately 40% GIP in the Michigan basin (Antrim). A typical well production profile is shown in '''Fig. 2'''. | ||
<gallery widths=240px heights=200px> | <gallery widths="240px" heights="200px"> | ||
File:Vol5 Page 1542 Image 0001.png|'''Table 2''' | File:Vol5 Page 1542 Image 0001.png|'''Table 2''' | ||
Line 48: | Line 52: | ||
</gallery> | </gallery> | ||
The initial dewatering period of approximately 1 year is characterized by diminishing water production and increasing gas production. Following perhaps a year of relatively constant production, a decline rate of approximately 6% per year is typical for a Michigan-basin Antrim well. Most wells exhibit exponential decline during their economic life. | The initial dewatering period of approximately 1 year is characterized by diminishing water production and increasing gas production. Following perhaps a year of relatively constant production, a decline rate of approximately 6% per year is typical for a Michigan-basin Antrim well. Most wells exhibit exponential decline during their economic life. | ||
The booking of proved reserves must be delayed until the production rate reaches a commercial level and/or there is ample evidence from nearby analog wells. Undeveloped locations may be classified as proved if these locations are directly adjacent to commercial wells (1978 U.S. SEC definitions). Additional locations may be classified as proved under the 1997 Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)/ World Petroleum Council (WPC) definitions<ref name="r11" /> | The booking of proved reserves must be delayed until the production rate reaches a commercial level and/or there is ample evidence from nearby analog wells. Undeveloped locations may be classified as proved if these locations are directly adjacent to commercial wells (1978 U.S. SEC definitions). Additional locations may be classified as proved under the 1997 Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)/ World Petroleum Council (WPC) definitions<ref name="r11">_</ref> if there is compelling evidence from nearby analogs and if the continuity of favorable reservoir conditions is reasonably certain. | ||
== Nomenclature == | == Nomenclature == | ||
{| | {| | ||
|- | |- | ||
|'' | | ''A'' | ||
|= | | = | ||
| | | area of reservoir or accumulation, acre | ||
|- | |- | ||
|'' | | ''C''<sub>''gi''</sub> | ||
|= | | = | ||
|gas | | initial sorbed gas concentration, scf/ton, dry, ash-free coal or shale | ||
|- | |- | ||
|'' | | ''G''<sub>''i''</sub> | ||
|= | | = | ||
| | | gas-in-place at initial reservoir conditions, scf | ||
|- | |- | ||
|''ρ'' | | ''h''<sub>''s''</sub> | ||
|= | | = | ||
|density, general, g/cm<sup>3</sup> | | shale thickness, ft | ||
|- | |||
| ''ρ'' | |||
| = | |||
| density, general, g/cm<sup>3</sup> | |||
|} | |} | ||
==References== | == References == | ||
<references | |||
<references /> | |||
== Noteworthy papers in OnePetro == | |||
Use this section to list papers in OnePetro that a reader who wants to learn more should definitely read | Use this section to list papers in OnePetro that a reader who wants to learn more should definitely read | ||
==Recorded webinars== | == Recorded webinars == | ||
Lee, W. John. 2014 Workflow for Applying Simple Models to Forecast Production from Hydraulically Fractured Shale Wells. SPE Webinars. Society of Petroleum Engineers, 9 January <http://eo2.commpartners.com/users/spe/session.php?id=12223>. | |||
Lee, W. John. 2014 Workflow for Applying Simple Models to Forecast Production from Hydraulically Fractured Shale Wells. SPE Webinars. Society of Petroleum Engineers, 9 January <[http://eo2.commpartners.com/users/spe/session.php?id=12223 http://eo2.commpartners.com/users/spe/session.php?id=12223]>. | |||
== External links == | |||
Use this section to provide links to relevant material on websites other than PetroWiki and OnePetro | Use this section to provide links to relevant material on websites other than PetroWiki and OnePetro | ||
==See also== | == See also == | ||
[[PEH: | |||
[[PEH:Estimation_of_Primary_Reserves_of_Crude_Oil,_Natural_Gas,_and_Condensate]] | |||
[[Category:5.8.2 Shale gas]][[Category:5.7.1 Estimates of resource in place]] |
Revision as of 19:02, 10 June 2015
Shale gas is becoming increasingly important globally. The nature of these reservoirs pose special considerations in reserves estimation. What follows was written in 2001 and needs to be updated based on current experience. Nonetheless, some of the considerations mentioned remain appropriate.
Background
As reported in mid-2000, natural gas produced from shale in the US has grown to be[1] approximately 1.6% (0.3 Tcf annually) of total gas production. The first commercial production of natural gas from shale was developed to supply gas to the town of Fredonia, New York, US, in the late 1820s, predating Col. Drake’s first oil well by almost 40 years.
By 1979, some 60 Bcf/year was being produced from wells in the Appalachian (Ohio) basin. Production from the Antrim shale (Michigan basin) began in the mid-1980s and by 1994 had surpassed production of the Appalachian basin. Three other US basins—San Juan (Colorado, New Mexico), Fort Worth (Texas), and Illinois (Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky) currently are producing from shale. Total US gas-bearing shale resources[2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] are shown in Table 1.
In a 1992 report,[9] the Gas Research Inst. (GRI) describes the Antrim shale as being organically rich and says that the majority of the in-place gas was sorbed into the organic constituent. Productivity is achieved by reducing reservoir pressure, and is maximized by hydraulic fracturing to access and connect the wellbore to the natural microfractures and other permeability pathways.
As in coalbed methane (CBM) reservoirs, the naturally occurring fracture system usually is water-filled, requiring artificial lift equipment to dewater the wells to reduce the bottomhole pressure to a level consistent with maximum gas desorption and production.
Calculation and considerations
Shale gas volumes initially in place (scf) can be calculated by:
where 1,359 is a conversion factor to convert volume (acre-ft), shale density (g/cm3), and gas content (scf/ton) to scf gas in place.
Shale density and gas content can be measured directly through core analysis or indirectly through well logs, using correlations established between gas content and shale bulk density. Core samples are taken and preserved to minimize the release of original gas in place. The free gas in the core sample canisters plus the gas that is released during core crushing is measured in the laboratory. This volume of gas may be adjusted to account for the volume estimated to have been lost during core retrieval. The analysis procedures are similar to those used for CBM.
Gas-content/shale-density correlations are an outgrowth of studies[10] in which the laboratory-measured shale densities and total organic content (TOC) of the samples were compared and related in a linear correlation. Similarly, gas content was found to have a linear relationship with TOC.
This research thus leads to the ability to measure bulk density from well logs and use this information to directly estimate gas content and log-derived gas in place.
Fig. 1[2] is an example of the relationship between gas content and shale density for the Antrim shale in a defined area.
Fig. 1 – Calculation of gas content from bulk density measurements from log, Antrim shale (after Gas Research Inst.[2]
Gas reserves estimation
Gas reserves estimates (REs) vary widely and are related to many factors, including:
- Completion efficiency
- Reservoir pressure
- Water removal efficiency
- Well spacing
The recoveries[2] shown in Table 2 range from 5 to 60% gas-in-place (GIP), but probably average approximately 40% GIP in the Michigan basin (Antrim). A typical well production profile is shown in Fig. 2.
The initial dewatering period of approximately 1 year is characterized by diminishing water production and increasing gas production. Following perhaps a year of relatively constant production, a decline rate of approximately 6% per year is typical for a Michigan-basin Antrim well. Most wells exhibit exponential decline during their economic life.
The booking of proved reserves must be delayed until the production rate reaches a commercial level and/or there is ample evidence from nearby analog wells. Undeveloped locations may be classified as proved if these locations are directly adjacent to commercial wells (1978 U.S. SEC definitions). Additional locations may be classified as proved under the 1997 Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)/ World Petroleum Council (WPC) definitions[11] if there is compelling evidence from nearby analogs and if the continuity of favorable reservoir conditions is reasonably certain.
Nomenclature
A | = | area of reservoir or accumulation, acre |
Cgi | = | initial sorbed gas concentration, scf/ton, dry, ash-free coal or shale |
Gi | = | gas-in-place at initial reservoir conditions, scf |
hs | = | shale thickness, ft |
ρ | = | density, general, g/cm3 |
References
Noteworthy papers in OnePetro
Use this section to list papers in OnePetro that a reader who wants to learn more should definitely read
Recorded webinars
Lee, W. John. 2014 Workflow for Applying Simple Models to Forecast Production from Hydraulically Fractured Shale Wells. SPE Webinars. Society of Petroleum Engineers, 9 January <http://eo2.commpartners.com/users/spe/session.php?id=12223>.
External links
Use this section to provide links to relevant material on websites other than PetroWiki and OnePetro
See also
PEH:Estimation_of_Primary_Reserves_of_Crude_Oil,_Natural_Gas,_and_Condensate